Salgueiro vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 2
SAL
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 0
FOR
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
4 - 0
SAL
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAY
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
AGU
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 0
ICA
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CUI
3 - 1
AGU
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 0
FOR
22%
26%
51%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |