Salgueiro vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
55.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAL
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 4
GRÊ
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAL
72%
20%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 5
ICA
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
5 - 3
SAL
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
ABC
0 - 5
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 2
GRÊ
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABC
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |