Salford City vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 3
BOS
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
STO
2 - 1
SAL
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
STO
2 - 0
SAL
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
BRA
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
SAL
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GAI
3 - 2
TAM
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 1
UNM
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KID
4 - 0
TAM
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
KID
6 - 0
TAM
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 5
TAM
36%
25%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |