Salford City vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
SAL
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 2
DON
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 2
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ROC
5 - 2
SAL
23%
21%
55%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 2
PNE
23%
24%
54%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
TRA
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 2
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
BOL
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
LTF
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 7 | 47 | 0 |