Salford City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
20.5%
73.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
22.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
28.8%
0-2
19.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
23.3%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TOW
3 - 2
SAL
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 2
NOT
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 2
WAL
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
SAL
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 1
MUD
17%
22%
61%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
NTT
1 - 1
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 5
TOT
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
NTT
0 - 1
BUR
37%
26%
36%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 3
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |