Coppa Italia Serie C Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Salernitana vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SAL
30%
28%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
3 - 0
SSB
56%
24%
19%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
SAL
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
ASG
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 1
SAL
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 1
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
ASG
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
PRG
3 - 2
GRO
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
NOC
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 2
GRO
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |