Salernitana vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 0
SAL
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SAL
3 - 1
MOD
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
VIC
1 - 3
SAL
61%
21%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 1
SAL
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
SAL
2 - 0
USA
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SPA
7 - 1
PRO
87%
8%
5%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
REG
1 - 0
SPA
72%
15%
13%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPA
5 - 3
FAN
74%
15%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAP
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 1
SPA
57%
20%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |