Salernitana vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
BRE
2 - 1
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
SAL
1 - 0
USA
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 1
SAL
73%
17%
11%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
LIV
1 - 1
SAL
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
SAL
0 - 1
ASS
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
MES
0 - 1
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
MES
1 - 0
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
LIV
1 - 1
MES
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
MES
0 - 0
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
MES
0 - 1
ACM
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |