Salernitana vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
BRE
1 - 1
SAL
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 0
ATP
56%
20%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
ASS
2 - 0
SAL
63%
19%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SAL
0 - 2
GEN
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
SIR
2 - 1
SAL
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
MES
2 - 0
FAN
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
MES
1 - 0
VIC
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
VNZ
1 - 2
MES
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
MES
0 - 1
ROM
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |