Salernitana vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
CAG
1 - 1
SAL
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
SAL
5 - 1
PES
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
CSA
3 - 5
SAL
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
SAL
2 - 0
PRG
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 0
SAL
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 1
REG
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
ASL
0 - 1
REG
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
PES
2 - 1
ASL
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 0
CSA
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
FIA
3 - 0
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |