Salernitana vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
ANC
2 - 1
SAL
51%
22%
27%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAL
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
FIO
4 - 0
SAL
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
SAL
2 - 0
PES
62%
20%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SAL
81%
11%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 0
NAP
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
LIV
4 - 2
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
SIE
1 - 2
LIV
27%
22%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 0
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |