Salernitana vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPE
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 1
SAL
75%
14%
10%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
FAN
1 - 1
SAL
67%
17%
16%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
TRE
2 - 0
SAL
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SAL
0 - 0
ANC
72%
16%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
CAT
3 - 2
PIS
63%
19%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
UNI
5 - 0
CAT
72%
16%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
CAT
1 - 3
VIC
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
MOD
53%
23%
25%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAT
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |