Salernitana vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MES
4 - 2
SAL
17%
26%
58%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 1
SSB
77%
17%
7%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
JUS
1 - 0
SAL
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 1
LRO
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 1
SAL
16%
26%
58%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
FCS
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 2
CAS
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCC
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
USF
1 - 0
CAS
52%
26%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |