Salernitana vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAL
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 1
VNF
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
SAL
9 - 0
DEL
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 6 | 72 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ACM
3 - 3
SAL
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 95 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 2
VER
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SPE
5 - 2
FEZ
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 36 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SPE
3 - 1
RTV
30%
24%
47%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
EMP
2 - 0
SPE
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 1
ARB
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 1
VNZ
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |