Salernitana vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAL
53%
23%
25%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SAL
1 - 1
PIS
72%
16%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAL
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
SAL
1 - 0
INT
29%
23%
49%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAL
68%
18%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
FAN
4 - 0
SPE
46%
23%
31%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SPE
2 - 4
UNI
68%
17%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
SPE
2 - 2
BRE
43%
23%
34%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
GEN
5 - 3
SPE
78%
13%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
NOV
2 - 1
SPE
60%
21%
20%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |