Salernitana vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
SAL
0 - 0
FAN
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
VIC
3 - 0
SAL
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
SAL
2 - 0
ATP
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
SAL
0 - 1
CAG
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ASS
3 - 0
SAL
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 1
CAT
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
PAV
3 - 2
MES
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
PAD
5 - 2
PAV
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 1
BRE
45%
25%
29%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAV
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |