Salernitana vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
VIC
0 - 1
SAL
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 0
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VER
2 - 0
SAL
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPE
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 1
PRG
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CES
1 - 1
BAR
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
CES
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 1
CES
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CES
2 - 2
ASC
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
PRG
3 - 3
CES
36%
30%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |