Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 9-2
UD Salamanca vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
AST
0 - 1
SLA
28%
31%
40%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
ALB
2 - 0
SLA
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
SLA
0 - 1
SAB
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
FIG
3 - 2
SLA
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
SLA
0 - 0
AVI
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
AST
0 - 1
SLA
28%
31%
40%
|
22 | 62 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
AST
2 - 1
CDW
51%
26%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
BAÑ
1 - 1
AST
57%
24%
19%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
SAL
4 - 0
AST
63%
22%
15%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
AST
2 - 0
MON
79%
15%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |