Copa del Rey 1/1024
Global 3-7
UD Salamanca vs AD Ferroviaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
15.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SLA
1 - 0
MER
82%
11%
7%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
FER
2 - 2
SLA
51%
21%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SLA
4 - 1
CPC
57%
20%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SLA
2 - 1
CDT
73%
15%
12%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CDB
4 - 0
SLA
68%
17%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
CPC
2 - 0
FER
62%
18%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
FER
2 - 2
SLA
51%
21%
28%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
CDT
1 - 2
FER
48%
21%
31%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
FER
3 - 2
CDB
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
IMP
4 - 1
FER
47%
21%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -3 |