Salam Zgharta vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
12º
10º
10
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 1
ALG
24%
22%
55%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAL
73%
18%
9%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
SAL
71%
18%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 0
SAL
86%
11%
4%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 2
ALN
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SAF
0 - 2
SHA
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 0
SAF
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SAF
0 - 4
ALA
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 3
HIK
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 1
ALA
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |