Sairme vs Mertskhali II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sairme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
IME
1 - 5
SAI
16%
21%
64%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SAI
4 - 0
SAM
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 4
SAI
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
KOL
0 - 1
SAI
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
SAI
3 - 0
EGR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Mertskhali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
MER
1 - 0
BAK
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SUL
5 - 0
MER
86%
11%
4%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
MER
4 - 1
RAC
22%
21%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
MER
3 - 1
MES
10%
16%
74%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +5 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
7 - 0
MER
91%
6%
2%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |