Saipa vs Ario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saipa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KFM
2 - 0
SAI
26%
28%
47%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 0
EMO
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SMK
0 - 0
SAI
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 1
MOG
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
KHO
0 - 3
SAI
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
PAR
17%
24%
59%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 0
FCA
70%
19%
10%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
CHA
14%
22%
64%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCA
77%
17%
7%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
SNO
2 - 0
FCA
74%
15%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |