Sainte-Marguerite vs Belfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
NAN
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 1
JUR
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SOC
1 - 0
BEL
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |