St Geneviève vs Yzeure analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
8º
2º
4
6º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 66 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 41 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 41 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 29 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 22 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IVR
2 - 0
STG
12%
23%
65%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCG
0 - 1
STG
11%
23%
66%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STG
1 - 0
CSL
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SML
0 - 0
STG
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STG
2 - 0
BAS
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Yzeure
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
YZE
1 - 0
CSL
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SML
4 - 0
YZE
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
YZE
1 - 3
DIJ
39%
26%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 0
YZE
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
YZE
0 - 1
ASP
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |