St Geneviève vs Vitry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
8º
2º
23
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 6
STG
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
BRE
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NEU
1 - 2
STG
13%
19%
68%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STG
1 - 0
ORL
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MAI
0 - 0
STG
13%
19%
68%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Vitry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
VTR
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VTR
0 - 2
BAL
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 2
VTR
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VTR
0 - 0
NEU
84%
11%
6%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ORL
2 - 1
VTR
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |