St Geneviève vs USM Saran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
8º
2º
24
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FUR
1 - 0
STG
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
STG
0 - 0
FLE
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STG
3 - 0
SML
38%
28%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BOB
5 - 0
STG
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
VTR
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
4 - 3
CHA
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
AVO
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TOU
3 - 1
SAR
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
ORL
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |