St Geneviève vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 1
STG
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
STG
1 - 2
EVR
47%
26%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ROU
1 - 3
STG
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
STG
3 - 2
AMN
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STG
1 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FLE
3 - 2
RAC
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AMN
2 - 0
FLE
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BEA
0 - 1
FLE
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FLE
2 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 1
FLE
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |