St Geneviève vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
9º
4º
8
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 60 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 42 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 34 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 33 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 31 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 24 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
STG
2 - 0
NEU
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CSL
2 - 2
STG
23%
26%
52%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STG
4 - 0
DIJ
58%
24%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AUX
0 - 1
STG
49%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
STG
1 - 2
UST
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FCG
1 - 3
NEU
29%
22%
50%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SML
1 - 0
FCG
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 5
RAC
5%
13%
82%
|
25 | 65 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
DIJ
0 - 0
FCG
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 0
ASP
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |