St Geneviève vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
13º
12º
43
6º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPI
3 - 1
STG
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STG
2 - 1
FUR
41%
26%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ASB
2 - 1
STG
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
STG
3 - 3
BEL
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SPI
0 - 1
STG
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
SML
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BOB
5 - 0
COL
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
COL
4 - 2
SAI
87%
11%
3%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
COL
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
RAO
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |