Saint-Priest vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
8º
14º
12º
7
8º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 53 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 52 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 52 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 49 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 47 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 46 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 45 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 43 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 39 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 39 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 33 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 29 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Priest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MOA
1 - 1
SAI
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
0 - 1
FRE
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 3
SAI
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAI
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 3
FEU
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
MGG
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
JUR
2 - 0
IST
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FCM
3 - 2
IST
82%
13%
5%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 3
IST
67%
19%
13%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
NÎM
3 - 1
IST
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |