Saint-Priest vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
8º
14º
12º
8
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 53 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 52 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 52 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 49 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 47 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 46 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 45 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 43 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 39 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 39 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 33 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 29 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 77% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Priest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 3
SAI
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAI
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 3
FEU
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 3
SAI
17%
22%
60%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 0
SAE
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
FRE
22%
27%
52%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 1
CHA
51%
26%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
FRE
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
FRE
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
JUR
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |