Saint-Pierre Milizac vs AF Virois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
5º
5º
3
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Pierre Milizac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
SPM
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPM
3 - 0
VAN
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SPM
2 - 2
VIT
34%
26%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 3
SPM
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
PLA
57%
21%
23%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
0 - 4
GUI
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
AFV
15%
17%
68%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
3 - 0
USF
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
SAI
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |