Saint Paul Sport vs Onet Le Château analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
80.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
14º
13º
30
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Paul Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 0
SPS
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPS
0 - 2
CRF
8%
15%
77%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 2
SPS
88%
8%
4%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SPS
0 - 1
CAS
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Onet Le Château
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ONE
0 - 2
FCA
49%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ONE
1 - 1
BAY
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CRF
2 - 1
ONE
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ONE
4 - 1
SEP
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ONE
4 - 0
FBP
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |