Saint Paul Sport vs Alberes Argelès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
77.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+356%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
14º
13º
32
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Paul Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SPS
0 - 3
ONE
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 0
SPS
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPS
0 - 2
CRF
8%
15%
77%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 2
SPS
88%
8%
4%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SPS
0 - 1
CAS
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCP
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ONE
0 - 2
FCA
49%
21%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 3
LES
33%
24%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 3
FCA
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 2
LEG
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |