Saint Paul Sport vs Colomiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
14º
13º
41
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Paul Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPS
1 - 1
FCA
8%
14%
78%
|
6 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SPS
0 - 3
ONE
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 0
SPS
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPS
0 - 2
CRF
8%
15%
77%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 2
SPS
88%
8%
4%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Colomiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
COL
3 - 0
ONE
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 0
COL
37%
25%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
CRF
27%
27%
47%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 0
COL
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
CAS
37%
25%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |