Saint-Omer vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
76.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Omer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
YVE
1 - 2
SAI
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SAI
2 - 0
LHA
8%
16%
77%
|
23 | 64 | 41 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SAI
0 - 5
IRI
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LPL
0 - 1
SAI
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SAI
3 - 1
SAI
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SED
1 - 2
USB
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
USB
4 - 3
ORL
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
USB
1 - 1
LES
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PFC
1 - 3
USB
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
BEZ
2 - 0
USB
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |