Saint-Nazaire AF vs USSA Vertou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
13º
12º
50
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Nazaire AF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LAV
2 - 1
SNA
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SNA
1 - 2
SPG
26%
22%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SNA
2 - 0
ACG
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LPS
5 - 0
SNA
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NIO
5 - 2
SNA
62%
18%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
USS
4 - 2
CHA
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FON
0 - 2
USS
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
USS
2 - 2
SAB
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
USS
1 - 0
LAV
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 0
USS
26%
22%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |