Saint-Nazaire AF vs Nantes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
64.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
13º
12º
50
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Nazaire AF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
SNA
63%
20%
18%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 1
SNA
55%
20%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SNA
0 - 2
SPG
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ESO
2 - 0
SNA
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SNA
2 - 1
LAV
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
CHA
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FON
3 - 3
NAN
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LES
0 - 2
NAN
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
NAN
53%
26%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 2
ROM
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |