Saint-Nazaire AF vs Challans analysis

Saint-Nazaire AF Challans
31 ELO 33
-12.1% Tilt -6.3%
11137º General ELO ranking 7814º
342º Country ELO ranking 190º
ELO win probability
42.7%
Saint-Nazaire AF
23.5%
Draw
33.7%
Challans

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
Saint-Nazaire AF
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.7%
Win probability
Challans
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Saint-Nazaire AF
-44%
-3%
Challans

Points and table prediction

Saint-Nazaire AF
Their league position
Challans
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
11º
44
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Roche VF
48
51
100%
USSA Vertou
46
49
91.5%
Challans
44
47
91.5%
Sablé
42
42
100%
Stade Lavallois II
38
41
100%
Saint-Nazaire AF
37
40
57.5%
36
39
56.5%
Fontenay
37
37
70.5%
Le Mans II
30
30
79.5%
La Roche-sur-Yon
10º
28
28
10º
0%
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
11º
28
28
11º
13%
Beaucouzé
12º
27
27
12º
62.5%
Pouzauges-Réaumur
13º
19
22
13º
75.5%
Change
14º
16
16
14º
75.5%
Expected probabilities
Saint-Nazaire AF
Challans
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Saint-Nazaire AF
Challans
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saint-Nazaire AF
Saint-Nazaire AF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2023
USS
USSA Vertou
0 - 1
Saint-Nazaire AF
SNA
62%
19%
19%
30 35 5 0
28 Jan. 2023
SNA
Saint-Nazaire AF
2 - 1
La Roche VF
LRO
40%
23%
37%
29 32 3 +1
21 Jan. 2023
LAV
Stade Lavallois II
0 - 2
Saint-Nazaire AF
SNA
57%
20%
23%
27 31 4 +2
17 Dec. 2022
SNA
Saint-Nazaire AF
2 - 0
Change
CHA
63%
19%
18%
26 20 6 +1
10 Dec. 2022
LEM
Le Mans II
1 - 1
Saint-Nazaire AF
SNA
49%
22%
29%
26 26 0 0

Matches

Challans
Challans
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2023
CHA
Challans
2 - 1
Beaucouzé
SCB
61%
19%
19%
33 25 8 0
28 Jan. 2023
CHA
Challans
1 - 1
USSA Vertou
USS
39%
25%
36%
33 36 3 0
21 Jan. 2023
SPG
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
0 - 1
Challans
CHA
27%
23%
50%
32 23 9 +1
10 Dec. 2022
LAV
Stade Lavallois II
2 - 0
Challans
CHA
43%
24%
33%
33 31 2 -1
03 Dec. 2022
CHA
Challans
2 - 0
Change
CHA
71%
17%
12%
33 21 12 0