Saint Meziery vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.1%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
89.8%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
14%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20.1%
0-4
11.5%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
15.4%
0-5
7.5%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
9.6%
0-6
4.1%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.1%
0-7
1.9%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.3%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Meziery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SME
1 - 0
PIR
6%
9%
85%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SME
0 - 5
SED
11%
18%
72%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SME
0 - 0
REI
13%
17%
70%
|
8 | 29 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
CON
1 - 2
AUX
23%
25%
51%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AUX
3 - 2
QUE
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
AUX
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LPV
0 - 0
AUX
2%
7%
91%
|
72 | 15 | 57 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AUX
5 - 2
ASS
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |