Saint Mary's vs Pacific analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Mary's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SFD
2 - 2
SMG
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 0
PPT
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PPT
1 - 3
SMG
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 3
LML
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
PTG
3 - 2
SMG
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SCB
2 - 2
PTG
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PTG
1 - 0
LML
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
PTG
3 - 2
SMG
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
LML
1 - 0
PTG
75%
15%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PTG
0 - 1
SFD
31%
22%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |