Saint-Malo vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
64.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Malo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAI
2 - 1
TRE
38%
27%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SAI
1 - 0
MON
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SAI
3 - 0
GDB
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 1
SAI
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 2
SAI
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 0
GUI
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 1
GAZ
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 4
MPL
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
GAZ
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
GAZ
3 - 0
GUI
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |