Saint-Malo vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
74.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Malo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 1
GUI
47%
25%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
4 - 1
SAI
59%
25%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
POI
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BLO
0 - 0
SAI
46%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 2
STA
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
ROD
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STL
4 - 0
CAE
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 0
NIO
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 1
QUE
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
CAE
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |