Saint Louis vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
PIT
2 - 2
LOU
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 2
TUL
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
SPK
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
MEM
1 - 0
LOU
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
IND
52%
24%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
4 - 1
SPK
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 0
LOU
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
IND
52%
24%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 2
SPK
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |