St. Louis II vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
STL
2 - 0
NOT
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
STL
1 - 1
SPK
68%
19%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NOT
3 - 1
STL
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HOU
1 - 0
STL
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
POR
3 - 5
STL
15%
21%
64%
|
60 | 27 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 2
HOU
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 2
POR
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 1
TAC
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
TAC
19%
24%
58%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 0
SPK
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |