St. Louis II vs Austin FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
STL
4 - 0
NOT
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 3
STL
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
HOU
1 - 1
STL
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STL
2 - 3
LAG
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 1
STL
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
MIN
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 3
COR
35%
25%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SPK
0 - 2
AFC
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
POR
3 - 3
AFC
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
NOT
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |