St. Louis City vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
72.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
STC
74%
19%
8%
|
20 | 77 | 57 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
STC
5 - 1
CIN
11%
19%
71%
|
18 | 76 | 58 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SES
3 - 0
STC
81%
14%
5%
|
18 | 83 | 65 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
STC
0 - 1
MIN
13%
21%
67%
|
17 | 78 | 61 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RSL
0 - 4
STC
72%
20%
8%
|
17 | 75 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
OMA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
OMA
1 - 2
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CVF
0 - 2
OMA
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
OMA
2 - 0
EPL
49%
22%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
OMA
1 - 1
FMA
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |