St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
69.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
STC
1 - 1
JUA
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
STC
2 - 1
DAL
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
1 - 1
STC
86%
9%
5%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SES
2 - 0
STC
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
STC
1 - 4
VAN
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
POR
4 - 0
COR
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 2
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
3 - 2
POR
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
RSL
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
POR
4 - 1
NSC
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -2 |