MLS 1/16
Global 2-6
St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
64.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STC
0 - 2
SES
12%
22%
66%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 0
STC
76%
16%
7%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STC
4 - 1
KCW
11%
24%
65%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 2
STC
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
STC
0 - 0
LAN
9%
19%
72%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
KCW
0 - 0
SJE
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KCW
3 - 1
MIN
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RSL
2 - 3
KCW
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STC
4 - 1
KCW
11%
24%
65%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KCW
2 - 1
HOD
47%
24%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |