Saint-Lô Manche vs Saint-Pierre Milizac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
49.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
14º
13º
26
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 43 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 43 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 26 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
18% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
74% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Lô Manche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 1
DIV
37%
25%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
SAI
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 1
CES
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SAI
5 - 0
AGC
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AFV
3 - 1
SAI
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Pierre Milizac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
DIN
24%
23%
54%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
LAN
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
SPM
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CEP
0 - 1
SPM
13%
16%
71%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPM
2 - 0
FLE
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |